Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 44.3%). Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Byfield wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.0% vs Donato 44.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 78.0%
Defensive zone
Byfield 60.4%
Neutral zone
Donato 58.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Byfield
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Byfield
Donato
Last 8: Byfield 2-6 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
5
Byfield
Donato
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
0
Byfield
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Byfield
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (2,149)
44.0% (1,218)
+1.4%
Power Play
47.8% (113)
46.0% (248)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (230)
41.7% (12)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Byfield is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,656).
Byfield shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Byfield
Donato
Home
45.3% (1,183)
47.2% (743)
Away
44.4% (1,309)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Byfield
Donato
P1
45.2%
43.8%
P2
43.7%
44.9%
P3
45.9%
43.7%
OT
40.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.8%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |