Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Johnson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 50.8% vs Hertl 56.8% (-5.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 68.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 54.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Johnson
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (51)
57.0% (718)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (30)
44.2% (77)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Johnson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Johnson shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Johnson
Hertl
Home
56.3% (32)
59.2% (463)
Away
49.0% (49)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Johnson
Hertl
P1
55.6%
56.3%
P2
48.0%
55.4%
P3
51.7%
60.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.9%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
57.5%