Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Rakell wins 34.5% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 47.6% vs Toffoli 50.8% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
Rakell 50.3%
Defensive zone
Rakell 60.4%
Neutral zone
Rakell 51.7%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Rakell
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (41)
56.5% (23)
-15.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
0.0% (1)
+66.7%
On power play, Rakell has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Rakell is 34.5% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Rakell shoots right. Toffoli is 71.4% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Rakell
Toffoli
Home
40.0% (15)
41.7% (12)
Away
43.3% (30)
66.7% (12)
By Period
Rakell
Toffoli
P1
40.0%
53.8%
P2
37.5%
55.6%
P3
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
42.2%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
54.2%