Scouting Report
Rickard Rakell holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Rakell wins 30.7% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 40.7% vs Toffoli 45.5% (+11.6%)
Offensive zone
Rakell 54.9%
Defensive zone
Rakell 58.3%
Neutral zone
Rakell 55.9%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Rakell
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (136)
25.0% (20)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Rakell has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Rakell is 30.7% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Rakell shoots right. Toffoli is 16.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Rakell
Toffoli
Home
41.5% (82)
20.0% (10)
Away
30.1% (93)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Rakell
Toffoli
P1
35.6%
80.0%
P2
37.3%
14.3%
P3
31.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
35.4%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
23.8%