Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.1%). Greig wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 51.1% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 60.0%
Defensive zone
Greig 56.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.9%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Greig
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Greig
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Greig
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Greig
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Greig
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (347)
52.6% (464)
-0.7%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
46.5% (155)
-1.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Greig shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Greig
Kuraly
Home
50.4% (254)
55.9% (322)
Away
52.5% (204)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Greig
Kuraly
P1
45.9%
55.9%
P2
60.1%
46.7%
P3
49.2%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |