Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Greig wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 49.0% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 78.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 53.0%
Neutral zone
Greig 64.7%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Greig
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Greig
Kuraly
Last 10: Greig 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Greig
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Greig
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
3
2
Greig
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,144)
51.6% (5,161)
-2.9%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
56.4% (101)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
44.4% (1,091)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Greig shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Greig
Kuraly
Home
49.9% (688)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
48.0% (708)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Greig
Kuraly
P1
46.0%
51.2%
P2
51.8%
50.0%
P3
49.1%
50.2%
OT
28.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |