Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Greig wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 49.0% vs Thompson 42.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 68.3%
Defensive zone
Greig 94.0%
Neutral zone
Greig 80.5%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Greig
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Greig
Thompson
Last 10: Greig 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
6
5
Greig
Thompson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
6
2
Greig
Thompson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
2
1
Greig
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,144)
42.9% (3,540)
+5.8%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
46.9% (373)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
33.6% (265)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Greig shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Greig
Thompson
Home
49.9% (688)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
48.0% (708)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Greig
Thompson
P1
46.0%
44.4%
P2
51.8%
43.7%
P3
49.1%
40.0%
OT
28.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |