Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall. Ostlund wins 35.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostlund 36.5% vs Thomas 51.7% (-20.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 69.6%
Defensive zone
Ostlund 53.3%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 74.1%
Result
Noah Ostlund favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Ostlund
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ostlund
Thomas
Last 5: Ostlund 1-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Ostlund
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Ostlund
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ostlund
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostlund
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
32.2% (261)
50.2% (635)
-18.0%
Power Play
11.1% (9)
61.0% (100)
-49.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
53.4% (118)
-20.1%
On power play, Thomas has a +49.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Ostlund is 35.8% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Ostlund shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Ostlund
Thomas
Home
37.3% (142)
52.0% (400)
Away
25.2% (131)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Ostlund
Thomas
P1
34.0%
49.4%
P2
32.6%
55.2%
P3
27.4%
50.7%
Final 5 min
23.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.5%
Thomas
48.0%▲
45.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Noah Ostlund |