Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.9% vs Hartman 45.6% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 56.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 55.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Thomas
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Thomas
Hartman
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
5
Thomas
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (652)
45.1% (874)
+5.2%
Power Play
61.5% (104)
47.4% (95)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (120)
37.5% (16)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Thomas shoots right. Hartman is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Thomas
Hartman
Home
52.0% (400)
45.0% (515)
Away
52.3% (476)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Thomas
Hartman
P1
49.6%
47.3%
P2
55.4%
40.1%
P3
51.0%
48.3%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |