Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 36 meetings). Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Hartman 45.4% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 47-40 in 87 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 67.7%
Defensive zone
Thomas 61.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 67.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Thomas
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
40
(87 meetings)
47
40
Thomas
Hartman
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
14
10
Thomas
Hartman
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
10
17
Thomas
Hartman
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
23
13
Thomas
Hartman
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,387)
45.2% (4,279)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.8% (927)
47.3% (446)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (697)
42.4% (262)
+7.8%
On power play, Thomas has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Thomas shoots right. Hartman is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Thomas
Hartman
Home
50.9% (3,484)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
52.3% (3,527)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Thomas
Hartman
P1
50.7%
46.1%
P2
53.0%
42.9%
P3
50.8%
46.7%
OT
59.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |