Robert Thomas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thomas wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 93.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 85.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 85.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
0
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
50.3% (479)
+5.0%
Power Play
54.2% (190)
50.0% (28)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
30.0% (50)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Thomas shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.1% (690)
48.9% (270)
Away
54.5% (648)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.5%
48.7%
P2
56.4%
50.0%
P3
51.5%
47.3%
OT
69.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
54.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
54.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |