Robert Thomas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (652)
46.0% (250)
+4.3%
Power Play
61.5% (104)
70.6% (17)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (120)
31.8% (22)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Thomas shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.0% (400)
50.3% (175)
Away
52.3% (476)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Thomas
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.6%
48.5%
P2
55.4%
45.9%
P3
51.0%
46.5%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |