Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.9% vs Poehling 48.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 71.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 76.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 57.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Thomas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Thomas
Poehling
Last 8: Thomas 4-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Thomas
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (652)
50.4% (680)
-0.1%
Power Play
61.5% (104)
58.3% (12)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (120)
38.8% (219)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Thomas shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Thomas
Poehling
Home
52.0% (400)
47.4% (422)
Away
52.3% (476)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Thomas
Poehling
P1
49.6%
53.3%
P2
55.4%
40.3%
P3
51.0%
50.0%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |