Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Poehling 48.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 88.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 53.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 67.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Thomas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
11
(30 meetings)
19
11
Thomas
Poehling
Last 10: Thomas 6-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
7
1
Thomas
Poehling
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
6
7
Thomas
Poehling
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
6
3
Thomas
Poehling
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,387)
49.6% (2,780)
+1.5%
Power Play
55.8% (927)
51.6% (93)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (697)
41.7% (635)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Thomas shoots right. Poehling is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,151).
Home / Away
Thomas
Poehling
Home
50.9% (3,484)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
52.3% (3,527)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Thomas
Poehling
P1
50.7%
50.8%
P2
53.0%
47.1%
P3
50.8%
47.2%
OT
59.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |