Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.9% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 69.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 64.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 73.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Thomas
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Thomas
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thomas
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (1,166)
42.6% (324)
+10.6%
Power Play
56.9% (262)
31.3% (16)
+25.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (221)
43.8% (16)
+4.6%
On power play, Thomas has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Thomas shoots right. Lafferty is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Thomas
Lafferty
Home
51.6% (830)
40.9% (181)
Away
54.7% (819)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Thomas
Lafferty
P1
52.7%
42.2%
P2
55.6%
36.4%
P3
50.6%
48.6%
Final 5 min
56.6%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
53.1%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |