Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Lafferty leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 71.1%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 74.2%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 54.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Thomas
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Thomas
Lafferty
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
2
Thomas
Lafferty
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Thomas
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,387)
47.9% (1,417)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.8% (927)
45.7% (46)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (697)
43.5% (184)
+6.7%
On power play, Thomas has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Thomas shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Thomas
Lafferty
Home
50.9% (3,484)
47.3% (833)
Away
52.3% (3,527)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Thomas
Lafferty
P1
50.7%
49.4%
P2
53.0%
43.1%
P3
50.8%
49.6%
OT
59.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |