Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.7% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 90.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Thomas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Thomas
Kuraly
Last 7: Thomas 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
0
Thomas
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Thomas
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thomas
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (924)
49.2% (901)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.2% (181)
68.2% (22)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (116)
49.8% (219)
-5.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Thomas shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Thomas
Kuraly
Home
53.6% (606)
51.7% (603)
Away
52.2% (615)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Thomas
Kuraly
P1
48.2%
50.9%
P2
55.3%
49.5%
P3
55.2%
49.1%
OT
47.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |