Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.9% vs Wright 41.4% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 77.4%
Defensive zone
Wright 67.0%
Neutral zone
Wright 78.8%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Thomas
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Thomas
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
Thomas
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (652)
39.7% (461)
+10.6%
Power Play
61.5% (104)
41.0% (61)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (120)
0.0% (1)
+54.2%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Thomas shoots right. Wright is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Thomas
Wright
Home
52.0% (400)
39.5% (286)
Away
52.3% (476)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Thomas
Wright
P1
49.6%
40.2%
P2
55.4%
36.7%
P3
51.0%
42.9%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Shane Wright |