Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Wright 43.3% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 73.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 85.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 85.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Thomas
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Thomas
Wright
Last 9: Thomas 6-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Wright
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Thomas
Wright
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,387)
42.7% (1,326)
+8.4%
Power Play
55.8% (927)
45.1% (133)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (697)
33.3% (6)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Thomas shoots right. Wright is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Thomas
Wright
Home
50.9% (3,484)
44.2% (746)
Away
52.3% (3,527)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Thomas
Wright
P1
50.7%
44.5%
P2
53.0%
40.5%
P3
50.8%
44.0%
OT
59.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |