Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.7% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 65.4%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 70.4%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 54.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Thomas
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Thomas
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Lorentz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Thomas
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (924)
48.3% (497)
+5.3%
Power Play
55.2% (181)
63.6% (11)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (116)
38.5% (39)
+5.5%
On power play, Lorentz has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Thomas shoots right. Lorentz is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Thomas
Lorentz
Home
53.6% (606)
50.4% (238)
Away
52.2% (615)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Thomas
Lorentz
P1
48.2%
49.1%
P2
55.3%
48.0%
P3
55.2%
47.2%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.9%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |