Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.9% vs Lorentz 49.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 79.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 60.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 67.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Thomas
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Thomas
Lorentz
Last 9: Thomas 6-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
0
Thomas
Lorentz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
3
Thomas
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (652)
51.4% (74)
-1.1%
Power Play
61.5% (104)
50.0% (2)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (120)
42.3% (26)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Thomas shoots right. Lorentz is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Thomas
Lorentz
Home
52.0% (400)
52.9% (68)
Away
52.3% (476)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Thomas
Lorentz
P1
49.6%
58.6%
P2
55.4%
45.0%
P3
51.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |