Robert Thomas vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.1%). Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 23-16 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 67.1%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 55.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 57.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Thomas
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
16
(39 meetings)
23
16
Thomas
Stamkos
Last 10: Thomas 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
9
Thomas
Stamkos
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
10
2
Thomas
Stamkos
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Thomas
Stamkos
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,370)
50.5% (9,825)
+0.6%
Power Play
55.7% (923)
55.2% (1,729)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (695)
49.6% (827)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Thomas shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Thomas
Stamkos
Home
50.9% (3,484)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Thomas
Stamkos
P1
50.6%
49.2%
P2
52.9%
52.7%
P3
50.8%
50.9%
OT
59.2%
54.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
48.0%▲
45.5%
51.6%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |