Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.9% vs Thompson 45.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 53.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 51.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Thomas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Thomas
Thompson
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
2
Thomas
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
1
Thomas
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Thomas
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (652)
44.6% (661)
+5.7%
Power Play
61.5% (104)
48.4% (95)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (120)
33.3% (33)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Thomas shoots right. Thompson is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Thomas
Thompson
Home
52.0% (400)
45.7% (411)
Away
52.3% (476)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Thomas
Thompson
P1
49.6%
47.7%
P2
55.4%
45.7%
P3
51.0%
40.5%
OT
57.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |