Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Thompson 42.8% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 52.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 57.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 59.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Thomas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Thomas
Thompson
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
5
Thomas
Thompson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
2
Thomas
Thompson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
5
Thomas
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,387)
42.9% (3,540)
+8.2%
Power Play
55.8% (927)
46.9% (373)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (697)
33.6% (265)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Thomas shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,149).
Home / Away
Thomas
Thompson
Home
50.9% (3,484)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
52.3% (3,527)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Thomas
Thompson
P1
50.7%
44.4%
P2
53.0%
43.7%
P3
50.8%
40.0%
OT
59.2%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.3%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |