Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hintz wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.5% vs Zegras 41.3% (+17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 74.4%
Defensive zone
Hintz 79.3%
Neutral zone
Hintz 62.8%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Hintz
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hintz
Zegras
Last 5: Hintz 3-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
1
Hintz
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Hintz
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (711)
36.5% (156)
+17.1%
Power Play
53.8% (93)
40.7% (27)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
58.7% (46)
0.0% (3)
+58.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +58.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Hintz shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Hintz
Zegras
Home
52.6% (460)
38.9% (113)
Away
55.4% (390)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Hintz
Zegras
P1
59.0%
40.0%
P2
52.7%
38.1%
P3
51.1%
31.6%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.2%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
53.9%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |