Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hintz wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.8% vs Zegras 40.2% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 90.7%
Defensive zone
Hintz 97.6%
Neutral zone
Hintz 95.8%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 95.7%
95.7%
4.3%
Hintz
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Hintz
Zegras
Last 10: Hintz 7-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
0
Hintz
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
4
1
Hintz
Zegras
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
5
2
Hintz
Zegras
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,706)
39.5% (1,582)
+14.3%
Power Play
54.8% (555)
41.4% (133)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (221)
28.6% (7)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hintz is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,764).
Hintz shoots left. Zegras is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Home / Away
Hintz
Zegras
Home
54.8% (2,289)
40.6% (833)
Away
52.9% (2,193)
38.7% (889)
By Period
Hintz
Zegras
P1
55.4%
41.2%
P2
53.8%
39.1%
P3
52.7%
38.5%
OT
48.6%
35.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
53.9%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |