Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 49.2% vs Hertl 57.5% (-9.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 67.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 61.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Colton
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (91)
58.7% (858)
-11.4%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
55.8% (285)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
62.9% (35)
-62.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +62.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Colton is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Colton shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Colton
Hertl
Home
46.9% (49)
60.1% (599)
Away
50.0% (50)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Colton
Hertl
P1
56.4%
52.4%
P2
47.1%
63.9%
P3
38.5%
58.5%
Final 5 min
41.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%