Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 49.2% vs Novak 42.5% (+7.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 61.8%
Defensive zone
Colton 59.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Colton
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (91)
40.4% (408)
+6.9%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
45.5% (33)
+25.9%
On power play, Colton has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Colton is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Colton shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Colton
Novak
Home
46.9% (49)
42.0% (212)
Away
50.0% (50)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Colton
Novak
P1
56.4%
41.9%
P2
47.1%
39.3%
P3
38.5%
42.1%
Final 5 min
41.2%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%