Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Carpenter wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 52.2% vs Hartman 44.0% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 71.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 76.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 70.5%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Carpenter
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carpenter
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
0
Carpenter
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (113)
42.6% (495)
+10.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
38.5% (26)
+61.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
48.8% (43)
+11.2%
On power play, Carpenter has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Carpenter is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Carpenter shoots right. Hartman is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Hartman
Home
58.5% (65)
43.4% (288)
Away
49.2% (59)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Carpenter
Hartman
P1
65.8%
43.1%
P2
50.0%
43.4%
P3
47.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:14 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |