Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.2% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-8.2%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 79.4%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 77.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Carpenter
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (404)
55.9% (499)
-7.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.3% (126)
+43.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
58.3% (12)
-14.7%
On power play, Carpenter has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Carpenter is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Carpenter shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Stamkos
Home
48.9% (274)
55.3% (349)
Away
46.6% (232)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Carpenter
Stamkos
P1
51.9%
57.0%
P2
49.4%
59.2%
P3
41.8%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%