Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 47.1% vs Hartman 45.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 53.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 55.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 54.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Donato
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Donato
Hartman
Last 10: Donato 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Donato
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
5
2
Donato
Hartman
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Donato
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (297)
45.1% (874)
+1.7%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
47.4% (95)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
37.5% (16)
+62.5%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Donato shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Donato
Hartman
Home
45.8% (142)
45.0% (515)
Away
46.7% (195)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Donato
Hartman
P1
49.5%
47.3%
P2
45.7%
40.1%
P3
43.4%
48.3%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |