Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Donato wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 44.7% vs Hartman 45.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 73.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 57.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 54.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Donato
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Donato
Hartman
Last 10: Donato 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
4
Donato
Hartman
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Donato
Hartman
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
4
Donato
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,218)
45.2% (4,279)
-1.2%
Power Play
46.0% (248)
47.3% (446)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
42.4% (262)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Donato is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Donato shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Donato
Hartman
Home
47.2% (743)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
41.4% (735)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Donato
Hartman
P1
43.8%
46.1%
P2
44.9%
42.9%
P3
43.7%
46.7%
OT
70.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |