Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 47.1% vs Strome 45.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 51.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 53.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Donato
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Donato
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Donato
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (297)
45.4% (315)
+1.4%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
35.7% (28)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Donato shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Donato
Strome
Home
45.8% (142)
42.6% (188)
Away
46.7% (195)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Donato
Strome
P1
49.5%
38.6%
P2
45.7%
48.4%
P3
43.4%
46.2%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |