Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 44.6%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Donato wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 44.7% vs Strome 44.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 66.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 51.2%
Neutral zone
Donato 57.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Donato
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Donato
Strome
Last 10: Donato 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
5
Donato
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
4
Donato
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Donato
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,218)
44.2% (6,887)
-0.2%
Power Play
46.0% (248)
49.2% (855)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
41.5% (410)
+0.2%
On power play, Strome has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Donato is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Donato shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Donato
Strome
Home
47.2% (743)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
41.4% (735)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Donato
Strome
P1
43.8%
43.9%
P2
44.9%
45.4%
P3
43.7%
44.4%
OT
70.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
47.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |