Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 47.1% vs Carrick 54.2% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 58.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 88.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 74.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Donato
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Donato
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (297)
55.5% (470)
-8.7%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
66.7% (3)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (58)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Donato shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Donato
Carrick
Home
45.8% (142)
58.6% (261)
Away
46.7% (195)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Donato
Carrick
P1
49.5%
55.9%
P2
45.7%
53.5%
P3
43.4%
55.6%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |