Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 47.1% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 86.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 52.2%
Neutral zone
Donato 69.6%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Donato
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Donato
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Donato
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Donato
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (297)
52.6% (464)
-5.8%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
100.0% (1)
-59.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.5% (155)
+53.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +59.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Donato shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Donato
Kuraly
Home
45.8% (142)
55.9% (322)
Away
46.7% (195)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Donato
Kuraly
P1
49.5%
55.9%
P2
45.7%
46.7%
P3
43.4%
50.7%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |