Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Donato wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 44.7% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 95.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 58.6%
Neutral zone
Donato 79.5%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Donato
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Donato
Kuraly
Last 10: Donato 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
3
0
Donato
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
7
Donato
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Donato
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,218)
51.6% (5,161)
-7.6%
Power Play
46.0% (248)
56.4% (101)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
44.4% (1,091)
-2.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Donato shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Donato
Kuraly
Home
47.2% (743)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
41.4% (735)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Donato
Kuraly
P1
43.8%
51.2%
P2
44.9%
50.0%
P3
43.7%
50.2%
OT
70.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |