Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 47.1% vs Wright 41.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 51.8%
Defensive zone
Donato 70.0%
Neutral zone
Donato 56.7%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Donato
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Donato
Wright
Last 5: Donato 3-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
2
1
Donato
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Donato
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (297)
39.7% (461)
+7.1%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
41.0% (61)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Donato shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Donato
Wright
Home
45.8% (142)
39.5% (286)
Away
46.7% (195)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Donato
Wright
P1
49.5%
40.2%
P2
45.7%
36.7%
P3
43.4%
42.9%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |