Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 47.1% vs Crosby 55.1% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 52.9%
Defensive zone
Donato 64.3%
Neutral zone
Donato 53.8%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Donato
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Donato
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Donato
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (297)
53.3% (1,025)
-6.5%
Power Play
41.0% (39)
64.7% (249)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
60.0% (15)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Donato shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Donato
Crosby
Home
45.8% (142)
56.9% (675)
Away
46.7% (195)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Donato
Crosby
P1
49.5%
55.1%
P2
45.7%
53.1%
P3
43.4%
58.5%
OT
75.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |