Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Donato wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 44.7% vs Crosby 53.5% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 83.0%
Defensive zone
Donato 77.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 81.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Donato
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Donato
Crosby
Last 9: Donato 3-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Donato
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
4
Donato
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Donato
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,218)
52.8% (18,031)
-8.8%
Power Play
46.0% (248)
57.4% (4,741)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
47.0% (766)
-5.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Donato shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Donato
Crosby
Home
47.2% (743)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
41.4% (735)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Donato
Crosby
P1
43.8%
53.6%
P2
44.9%
53.8%
P3
43.7%
53.3%
OT
70.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |