Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Donato wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 46.0% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 77.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 73.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 76.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Donato
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Donato
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
2
1
Donato
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (180)
57.6% (1,061)
-13.2%
Power Play
43.2% (37)
65.1% (338)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
49.5% (101)
-9.5%
On power play, Trocheck has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Donato is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Donato shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Donato
Trocheck
Home
45.4% (97)
61.8% (735)
Away
43.2% (125)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Donato
Trocheck
P1
36.2%
57.7%
P2
48.6%
57.9%
P3
46.9%
60.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.1%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |