Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Donato wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.4% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 64.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 51.7%
Neutral zone
Donato 60.8%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Donato
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Donato
Trocheck
Last 7: Donato 3-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Donato
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Donato
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Donato
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (400)
59.6% (1,032)
-16.1%
Power Play
48.7% (119)
62.1% (253)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
55.4% (249)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Donato shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Donato
Trocheck
Home
50.2% (279)
61.7% (786)
Away
38.2% (246)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Donato
Trocheck
P1
44.6%
61.7%
P2
46.6%
58.8%
P3
42.0%
57.6%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.6%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |