Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). McBain wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Hartman 45.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 13-13 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 61.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 58.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
McBain
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
13
(26 meetings)
13
13
McBain
Hartman
Last 10: McBain 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
4
6
McBain
Hartman
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
3
McBain
Hartman
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
5
4
McBain
Hartman
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
45.2% (4,279)
+2.9%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
47.3% (446)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
42.4% (262)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McBain is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (995).
McBain shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
McBain
Hartman
Home
49.1% (1,379)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
McBain
Hartman
P1
47.1%
46.1%
P2
47.4%
42.9%
P3
45.4%
46.7%
OT
37.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |