Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Thomas wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 44.6% vs Hartman 43.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 56.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 70.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 53.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Thomas
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Thomas
Hartman
Last 10: Thomas 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Thomas
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
4
Thomas
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
3
Thomas
Hartman
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (252)
40.9% (413)
+1.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
53.6% (28)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
38.9% (36)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Thomas is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thomas shoots right. Hartman is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Thomas
Hartman
Home
44.8% (125)
46.2% (249)
Away
40.6% (138)
36.4% (228)
By Period
Thomas
Hartman
P1
43.2%
45.4%
P2
44.6%
39.1%
P3
40.2%
40.2%
Final 5 min
40.0%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
42.6%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |