Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.6% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 75.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Hartman
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hartman
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hartman
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hartman
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (874)
52.6% (464)
-7.5%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
100.0% (1)
-52.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
46.5% (155)
-9.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Hartman shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Hartman
Kuraly
Home
45.0% (515)
55.9% (322)
Away
45.3% (470)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Hartman
Kuraly
P1
47.3%
55.9%
P2
40.1%
46.7%
P3
48.3%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |