Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.4% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 87.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 74.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Hartman
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Hartman
Kuraly
Last 10: Hartman 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
0
Hartman
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
6
Hartman
Kuraly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Hartman
Kuraly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,279)
51.6% (5,161)
-6.4%
Power Play
47.3% (446)
56.4% (101)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
44.4% (1,091)
-2.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Hartman shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Hartman
Kuraly
Home
46.7% (2,589)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
43.7% (2,398)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Hartman
Kuraly
P1
46.1%
51.2%
P2
42.9%
50.0%
P3
46.7%
50.2%
OT
53.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |