Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.6% vs Aho 50.5% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Aho 63.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 72.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 50.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Hartman
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (874)
50.5% (878)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
53.5% (144)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
44.3% (61)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Hartman shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Hartman
Aho
Home
45.0% (515)
53.8% (571)
Away
45.3% (470)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Hartman
Aho
P1
47.3%
49.0%
P2
40.1%
51.7%
P3
48.3%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
44.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%