Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.6% vs Johnston 48.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 51.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 51.0%
Neutral zone
Johnston 51.8%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Hartman
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hartman
Johnston
Last 5: Hartman 2-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Hartman
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
1
Hartman
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Hartman
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (874)
47.3% (666)
-2.2%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
50.7% (69)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
51.4% (35)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hartman is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Hartman shoots right. Johnston is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Hartman
Johnston
Home
45.0% (515)
47.5% (364)
Away
45.3% (470)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Hartman
Johnston
P1
47.3%
49.4%
P2
40.1%
46.9%
P3
48.3%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
44.2%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |