Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.4% vs Johnston 49.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 65.6%
Defensive zone
Johnston 56.5%
Neutral zone
Johnston 51.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Hartman
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Hartman
Johnston
Last 10: Hartman 6-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
1
Hartman
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
4
Hartman
Johnston
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Hartman
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,279)
49.1% (2,232)
-3.9%
Power Play
47.3% (446)
52.5% (179)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
44.7% (237)
-2.3%
On power play, Johnston has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hartman is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,391).
Hartman shoots right. Johnston is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Hartman
Johnston
Home
46.7% (2,589)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
43.7% (2,398)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Hartman
Johnston
P1
46.1%
50.0%
P2
42.9%
48.1%
P3
46.7%
48.6%
OT
53.8%
51.5%
Final 5 min
46.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |