Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs McLeod 47.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 52.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 70.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 59.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Pettersson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pettersson
McLeod
Last 6: Pettersson 4-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
47.8% (448)
-3.9%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
48.1% (52)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
36.0% (25)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pettersson is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Pettersson shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McLeod
Home
45.5% (290)
46.6% (253)
Away
42.4% (250)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Pettersson
McLeod
P1
40.2%
43.9%
P2
43.9%
45.9%
P3
48.8%
52.1%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.1%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | OT | 02:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |